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Pam Finzel
Coldwell Banker All Stars, 3110 S. Atlantic Avenue
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Nine Consecutive Gains for Pending Home Sales
Posted - 12/01/2009

Information received from Realtor.org

Nine Consecutive Gains for Pending Home Sales

Washington, December 01, 2009

Pending home sales have risen for nine months in a row, a first for the series of the index since its inception in 2001, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator based on contracts signed in October, increased 3.7 percent to 114.1 from 110.0 in September, and is 31.8 percent above October 2008 when it was 86.6. The rise from a year ago is the biggest annual increase ever recorded for the index, which is at the highest level since March 2006 when it was 115.2.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said home sales are experiencing a pendulum swing. "Keep in mind that housing had been underperforming over most of the past year. Based on the demographics of our growing population, existing-home sales should be in the range of 5.5 million to 6.0 million annually, but we were well below the 5-million mark before the home buyer tax credit stimulus," he said. "This means the tax credit is helping unleash a pent-up demand from a large pool of financially qualified renters, much more than borrowing sales from the future.

The PHSI in the Northeast surged 19.9 percent to 100.2 in October and is 44.2 percent above a year ago. In the Midwest the index rose 11.6 percent to 109.6 and is 36.6 percent higher than October 2008. Pending home sales in the South increased 5.4 percent to an index of 115.4, which is 31.6 percent above a year ago. In the West the index fell 11.2 percent to 127.7 but is 21.9 percent above October 2008.

Yun cautioned that home sales could dip in the months ahead. "The expanded tax credit has only been available for the past three weeks, but the time between when buyers start looking at homes until they close on a sale can take anywhere from three to five months. Given the lag time, we could see a temporary decline in closed existing-home sales from December until early spring when we get another surge, but the weak job market remains a major concern and could slow the recovery process.

"Still, as inventories continue to decline and balance is gradually restored between buyers and sellers, we should reach self-sustaining housing conditions and firming home prices in most areas around the middle of 2010. That would mean broad wealth stabilization for the vast number of middle-class families," Yun said.

The National Association of Realtors®, "The Voice for Real Estate," is America's largest trade association, representing 1.2 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.

# # #

*The Pending Home Sales Index is a leading indicator for the housing sector, based on pending sales of existing homes. A sale is listed as pending when the contract has been signed but the transaction has not closed, though the sale usually is finalized within one or two months of signing.

The index is based on a large national sample, typically representing about 20 percent of transactions for existing-home sales. In developing the model for the index, it was demonstrated that the level of monthly sales-contract activity from 2001 through 2004 parallels the level of closed existing-home sales in the following two months. There is a closer relationship between annual index changes (from the same month a year earlier) and year-ago changes in sales performance than with month-to-month comparisons.

An index of 100 is equal to the average level of contract activity during 2001, which was the first year to be examined as well as the first of five consecutive record years for existing-home sales.

Existing-home sales for November will be reported December 22 and the next Pending Home Sales Index will be on January 5; release times are 10 a.m. EST.

 


Big Gains in Existing Home Sales in October!!
Posted - 11/23/2009

This article was obtained from realtor.org

Existing-Home Sales Record Another Big Gain, Inventories Continue to Shrink

Washington, November 23, 2009

Driven by the first-time buyer tax credit, existing-home sales showed another big gain in October with a strong uptrend established over the past seven months, while inventories continue to decline, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

Existing-home sales - including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops - surged 10.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate1 of 6.10 million units in October from a downwardly revised pace of 5.54 million in September, and are 23.5 percent above the 4.94 million-unit level in October 2008. Sales activity is at the highest pace since February 2007 when it hit 6.55 million.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, was surprised at the size of the gain. "Many buyers have been rushing to beat the deadline for the first-time buyer tax credit that was scheduled to expire at the end of this month, and similarly robust sales may be occurring in November," he said. "With such a sale spike, a measurable decline should be anticipated in December and early next year before another surge in spring and early summer."

Now that the tax credit has been extended and expanded, potential buyers have until April 30 to have a contract in place. "There is still a large pent-up demand that can be tapped before the tax credit expires. Our recent consumer survey further shows that 13 percent of successful first-time buyers had a previous contract that was cancelled or fell through - there likely are many more buyers who were attempting to purchase but simply ran out of time," Yun said.

Historically low interest rates also are boosting the market. "Mortgage interest rates last month were the third lowest on record dating back to 1971," Yun noted. According to Freddie Mac, the national average commitment rate for a 30-year, conventional, fixed-rate mortgage fell to 4.95 percent in October from 5.06 percent in September; the rate was 6.20 percent in October 2008. Last week, Freddie Mac reporter the 30-year rate dropped to 4.83 percent.

NAR President Vicki Cox Golder, owner of Vicki L. Cox & Associates in Tucson, Ariz., said strong demand by first-time buyers is creating some unusual conditions. "In parts of the country, especially in Southwestern states but also in Florida and suburban Washington, D.C., we've been getting many reports of multiple bids in the lower price ranges with foreclosed properties getting absorbed quickly," she said.

"In fact, low-end inventory has become very tight in many areas and in some cases buyers are becoming more aggressive. In this kind of environment it's important to work with a Realtor® who can walk you through the process and help you negotiate a satisfactory deal," Golder said.

Total housing inventory at the end of October fell 3.7 percent to 3.57 million existing homes available for sale, which represents a 7.0-month supply2 at the current sales pace, down from an 8.0-month supply in September. Unsold inventory totals are 14.9 percent below a year ago.

"The supply of homes on the market is now at the lowest level in over two-and-a half years - we're getting closer to a general balance between buyers and sellers," Yun said. The last time the relative housing inventory was this low was in February 2007 when it also was at a 7.0-month supply.

The national median existing-home price3 for all housing types was $173,100 in October, down 7.1 percent from October 2008. Distressed properties, which accounted for 30 percent of sales in October, continue to downwardly distort the median price because they usually sell at a discount relative to traditional homes in the same area.

"In the second half of 2010, if home values show consistent stabilization or even a modest increase, then home sales could remain at normal healthy levels because consumers would no longer be worried about a price overcorrection," Yun said.

He added that low home prices also are contributing to extremely favorable affordability conditions. "With the abnormal drop in home prices over the past few years, the price-to-income ratio has fallen below the historic trend line," Yun said. "This is adding to the buying power of the typical family, with affordability conditions this year at the highest on record dating back to 1970, but prices are beginning to flatten and are poised to rise next year."

Single-family home sales rose 9.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.33 million in October from a pace of 4.86 million in September, and are 21.4 percent above the 4.39 million-unit pace in October 2008. The median existing single-family home price was $173,100 in October, down 6.8 percent from a year ago.

Existing condominium and co-op sales surged 13.2 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 770,000 units in October from 680,000 in September, and are 40.8 percent above the 547,000-unit level a year ago. The median existing condo price4 was $172,900 in October, which is 10.4 percent below October 2008.

Regionally, existing-home sales in the Northeast rose 11.6 percent to an annual level of 1.06 million in October, and are 27.7 percent higher than October 2008. The median price in the Northeast was $235,400, down 2.6 percent from a year ago.

Existing-home sales in the Midwest surged 14.4 percent in October to a pace of 1.43 million and are 28.8 percent above a year ago. The median price in the Midwest was $146,600, a gain of 1.1 percent from October 2008.

In the South, existing-home sales rose 12.7 percent to an annual level of 2.30 million in October and are 25.7 percent higher than October 2008. The median price in the South was $151,100, down 6.3 percent from a year ago.

Existing-home sales in the West increased 1.6 percent to an annual rate of 1.31 million in October and are 12.0 percent above a year ago. The median price in the West was $220,200, which is 14.7 percent below October 2008.

The National Association of Realtors®, "The Voice for Real Estate," is America's largest trade association, representing 1.2 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.

# # #

NOTE: NAR also reports monthly comparisons of existing single-family home sales and median prices for select metropolitan statistical areas, and is posted with other tables at: www.realtor.org/research/research/ehsdata. For information on areas not included in the report, please contact the local association of Realtors®.

1The annual rate for a particular month represents what the total number of actual sales for a year would be if the relative pace for that month were maintained for 12 consecutive months. Seasonally adjusted annual rates are used in reporting monthly data to factor out seasonal variations in resale activity. For example, home sales volume is normally higher in the summer than in the winter, primarily because of differences in the weather and family buying patterns. However, seasonal factors cannot compensate for abnormal weather patterns.

Existing-home sales, which include single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, are based on transaction closings. This differs from the U.S. Census Bureau's series on new single-family home sales, which are based on contracts or the acceptance of a deposit. Because of these differences, it is not uncommon for each series to move in different directions in the same month. In addition, existing-home sales, which generally account for 85 to 90 percent of total home sales, are based on a much larger sample - more than 40 percent of multiple listing service data each month - and typically are not subject to large prior-month revisions.

Single-family data collection began monthly in 1968, while condo data collection began quarterly in 1981; the series were combined in 1999 when monthly collection of condo data began. Prior to this period, single-family homes accounted for more than nine out of 10 purchases. Historic comparisons for total home sales prior to 1999 are based on monthly single-family sales, combined with the corresponding quarterly sales rate for condos.

2Total inventory and month's supply data are available back through 1999, while single-family inventory and month's supply are available back to 1982.

3The only valid comparisons for median prices are with the same period a year earlier due to the seasonality in buying patterns. Month-to-month comparisons do not compensate for seasonal changes, especially for the timing of family buying patterns. Changes in the composition of sales can distort median price data. Year-ago median and mean prices sometimes are revised in an automated process if more data is received than was originally reported.

4Because there is a concentration of condos in high-cost metro areas, the national median condo price generally is higher than the median single-family price. In a given market area, condos typically cost less than single-family homes.

Existing-home sales for November will be released December 22. The next Pending Home Sales Index is scheduled for December 1; release times are 10 a.m. EST.

Information about NAR is available at www.realtor.org. This and other news releases are posted in the News Media section. Statistical data in this release, other tables and surveys also may be found by clicking on Research.


Real Estate Sales Statistics, Economic Indicators, forecasts
Posted - 11/17/2009

This is information gathered today from www.Realtor.org

Housing and Economic Statistics

Existing-Home Sales Price and Sales Statistics

NAR releases national and regional existing-home sales price and volume statistics on or about the 25th of each month. Each report includes data for 12 months and annual totals going back three years. Reports are available for existing single-family homes, condos, and co-ops. Both median and average prices are included. Historic and custom reports are available on a subscription basis.
Read more >

Pending Home Sales Index

This leading indicator for housing activity is released during the first week of each month. The index measures housing contract activity. It is based on signed real estate contracts for existing single-family homes, condos, and co-ops.
Read more >

Market Forecast

This monthly summary forecast table includes actual and predicted movement in GDP, consumer prices, home sales, home prices, housing starts, mortgage rates and more.

Read more > (14.7K PDF)

Current forecast in Excel table > (27.5K XLS)

Economic Indicators

In addition to our existing-home sales series, NAR Research monitors and analyzes other indicators, including mortgage rates, new-home sales, consumer confidence, and Gross Domestic Product. The indicators are updated monthly.
Read more >

Quarterly Metro Price Report

NAR releases median prices of existing single-family homes and condos and co-ops for 160 metropolitan areas each February, May, August, and November.
Read more >

Quarterly State Resale Report

NAR releases existing-home sales data on a state-by-state basis each February, May, August, and November.
Read more >

Housing Affordability Index

This quarterly report measures the ability of a family earning the median income to purchase a median-priced home.
Read more >

County Relocation Reports

This subscription service lists the number of households relocating between counties and their income relative to the county average. Relocation reports are available for more than 3,000 U.S. counties. They are delivered electronically.
Free Sample Report (157K PDF) | Purchase Report

MLS Economic/Market Watch Report

For Multiple Listing Services only.  This private-label monthly report is sold to multiple listing services that contract with NAR to present their MLS data in a format that is easy for practitioners to use. The report offers local sales data, economic and housing forecasts, and labor market analysis, all at the county level.
Sample Report (406K PDF) | Purchase Subscription

U.S. House Stats

For State REALTOR®Associations only. Through this subscription-based electronic data collection and reporting system, NAR Research tracks information provided by participating state REALTOR® Associations and returns customized monthly housing reports


1st Time Home Buyer Tax Credit Extended
Posted - 11/16/2009

New Legislation

New legislation, the Worker, Homeownership and Business Assistance Act of 2009, which was signed into law on Nov. 6, 2009, extends and expands the first-time homebuyer credit allowed by previous Acts. The new law:

  • Extends deadlines for purchasing and closing on a home.
  • Authorizes the credit for long-time homeowners buying a replacement principal residence.
  • Raises the income limitations for homeowners claiming the credit.  

Under the new law, an eligible taxpayer must buy, or enter into a binding contract to buy, a principal residence on or before April 30, 2010 and close on the home by June 30, 2010. For qualifying purchases in 2010, taxpayers have the option of claiming the credit on either their 2009 or 2010 return.  

For the first time, long-time homeowners who buy a replacement principal residence may also claim a homebuyer credit of up to $6,500 (up to $3,250 for a married individual filing separately). They must have lived  in the same principal residence for any five-consecutive year period during the eight-year period that ended on the date the replacement home is purchased.

People with higher incomes can now qualify for the credit. The new law raises the income limits for homes purchased after Nov. 6, 2009. The credit phases out for individual taxpayers with modified adjusted gross income (MAGI) between $125,000 and $145,000 or between $225,000 and $245,000 for joint filers. The existing MAGI phase-outs of $75,000 to $95,000 or $150,000 to $170,000 for joint filers still apply to purchases on or before Nov. 6, 2009.

General Information

Homebuyers who purchased a home in 2008, 2009 or 2010 may be able to take advantage of the first-time homebuyer credit. The credit:

  • Applies only to homes used as a taxpayer's principal residence.
  • Reduces a taxpayer's tax bill or increases his or her refund, dollar for dollar.
  • Is fully refundable, meaning the credit will be paid out to eligible taxpayers, even if they owe no tax or the credit is more than the tax owed.

The credit is claimed using Form 5405, which you file with your original or amended tax return.

For 2008 Home Purchases

The Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008 established a tax credit for first-time homebuyers that can be worth up to $7,500. For homes purchased in 2008, the credit is similar to a no-interest loan and must be repaid in 15 equal, annual installments beginning with the 2010 income tax year.

For 2009 Home Purchases

The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 expanded the first-time homebuyer credit by increasing the credit amount to $8,000 for purchases made in 2009 before Dec. 1. However, the new Worker, Homeownership and Business Assistance Act of 2009 has extended the deadline. Now, taxpayers who have a binding contract to purchase a home before May 1, 2010, are eligible for the credit. Buyers must close on the home before July 1, 2010. [Added Nov. 12, 2009]

For home purchased in 2009, the credit does not have to be paid back unless the home ceases to be the taxpayer's main residence within a three-year period following the purchase.

First-time homebuyers who purchase a home in 2009 can claim the credit on either a 2008 tax return, due April 15, 2009, or a 2009 tax return, due April 15, 2010. The credit may not be claimed before the closing date. But, if the closing occurs after April 15, 2009, a taxpayer can still claim it on a 2008 tax return by requesting an extension of time to file or by filing an amended return. News release 2009-27 has more information on these options.


For Big Housing Bargains, Run to Daytona Beach, FL!
Posted - 10/12/2009
http://www.usatoday.com/money/economy/housing/closetohome/2009-09-29-real-estate-in-daytona-beach_N.htm


Fight Against Foreclosure!!
Posted - 06/24/2008

From the National Association of Realtors:

REALTORS® Enlist Nation's Mayors in Fight Against Foreclosure

WASHINGTON, June 20, 2008

The National Association of Realtors® today joined officials from the Federal Housing Administration, Mortgage Bankers Association and NeighborWorks® America to address the foreclosure crisis and its impact on American cities.

The organizations shared their insights with mayors from across the country as part of the U.S. Conference of Mayors’ annual meeting in Miami. Sen. Barack Obama, the presumptive Democratic nominee for U.S. president, and former U.S. President Bill Clinton will also address the nation’s mayors during the meeting, which runs through June 24.

“The recent slowdown in the real estate market has created significant challenges for America’s cities, for mayors, and for Realtors®,” said NAR President-elect Charles McMillan, who spoke on NAR’s behalf. “Realtors® build communities, and we share a common mission with our country’s mayors – to support and strengthen the communities we serve.”

In a recent NAR survey of its members, more than half of all Realtor® respondents believe that borrowers who are in trouble are not receiving adequate assistance to avoid foreclosure. McMillan urged attendees to share challenges and best practices and explore creative ways to revise existing programs to meet the needs of today’s homeowners and buyers.

On the national level, housing stimulus packages have been proposed by both the U.S. House of Representatives and the Senate, and NAR has been working diligently with Congress to pass legislation that will help stem the rising tide of foreclosures and stimulate the housing market before Congress adjourns for the July 4 recess.

NAR supports modernizing FHA to help more buyers obtain safe, affordable financing and provide upfront counseling and support. In addition, NAR advocates making permanent increases to FHA and conforming loan limits, which would allow thousands of families to refinance existing mortgages and keep their homes as well as help buyers in high-cost areas become homeowners. Ideal legislation would also include a tax credit for first-time home buyers.

“Realtors® care as much about keeping families in their homes as they do about helping them find the home of their dreams,” said McMillan. “Realtors® and mayors have already proven what we can accomplish when we work together. Now, let’s build on that great work and launch a new era for America’s cities and the American Dream together.”

The National Association of Realtors®, “The Voice for Real Estate,” is America’s largest trade association, representing 1.2 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.


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